Verification of temperature condition modelling in Ukraine

Authors: Latysh L.G., Khokhlov V.N., Borovskaya G.A., Bondarenko V.N.

Year: 2010

Issue: 10

Pages: 120-127

Abstract

Forecast verification of air temperature conditions in Ukraine during 2001-2009 is analysed. The data from outputs of GFDL’s model forced by the A2, A1B, and B1 emission scenarios are compared with observed data for these years. It is shown that for all scenarios the model provides most high-quality outcomes in comparison with observed temperature for Southern Ukraine.

Tags: climate modelling; greenhouse gases emission scenarios; statistical measure; temperature conditions

Bibliography

  1. Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change / S. Solomon et al. (eds.). – Cambridge University Press, 2007. – 996 p.
  2. Delworth T.L. et al. GFDL’s CM2 Global Climate Model. Part I: Formulation and simulation characteristics // Journal of Climate. – 2006. – V. 19. – P. 643-674.
  3. Special Report on Emission Scenarios. A Special Report of Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change / N. Nakićenović et al. (eds.). – Cambridge University Press, 2000. – 599 p.
  4. Хохлов В.М., Латиш Л.Г., Цимбалюк К.С. Можливі зміни температурного режиму в Україні у 2011-2025 роках // Вісник Одеського державного екологічного університету. – 2009. – Вип. 8. – С. 70-78.
  5. Forecast Verification: A Practitioner’s Guide in Atmospheric Science / I.T. Jolliffe, D.B. Stephenson (Eds.). – Chichester: John Wiley & Sons Ltd, 2003. – 240 p.
Download full text (PDF)